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June 19, 2021

What Gets Missed In Multi-Touch Marketing Attribution


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In a post on the HubSpot blog, Kristen Baker (@kbakes_2) shares this definition of multi-touch markteing attribution:

“Multi-touch attribution, which may also be referred to as fractional attribution, is how you determine the value of each touchpoint throughout the customer journey that results in a conversion. In other words, it’s when credit for a conversion is given to every touchpoint that a customer experienced throughout the buyer’s journey.”

Multi-touch attribution analogy

Here’s a multi-touch attribution analogy: to measure Twitter marketing for our B2B brand, we determined that mentions are a good thing. By evaluating historical data, we determined that a mention on Twitter is worth $.25. Last month, we received 1,000 mentions.

So our Twitter presence was worth $250.

Yay! But wait. What about the sentiment of those mentions? What if 250 mentions were compliments (good/great), 250 were shares of our content (good/neutral) and 500 were complaints about the horrible customer service we provide? I’d argue that net-net, our Twitter presence had a negative return.

B2B white paper example

Consider this next example: we’re a B2B company and closed a deal worth $20,000. It had 5 touches: 2 blog posts, 2 white papers and a webinar. We’ll use a linear multi-touch attribution model, giving equal weight to each touch.

So each of the 5 assets is assigned a value of $20,000 / 5 = $4,000.

Side note: Marketo has a nice article explaining the different multi-touch attribution models. I chose one model for this example — the focus of this post is not on the models themselves, but in the assigning of value to content assets.

One of the 2 white papers has this title:

The CISO’s Ultimate Guide to Multi-Factor Authentication

In this deal, it was awarded $4,000 in value. But wait! It’s also a “touch” in 10 other deals this quarter. Across those 10 deals, it was awarded $35,000 in value. So that’s $39,000 in value in this quarter alone.

It cost us $3,000 to create the white paper. Wow! Let’s tell the boss! Look at the ROI of this one asset! It’s as if we received 1,000 Twitter mentions!

Marketing Attribution: What Gets Overlooked

So here’s the issue:

Sentiment.

Granted, this exercise is at a small scale (e.g., 11 deals). If we looked at 5,000 deals and this white paper was touched in 600 of them, it’s a different story. My main point is this:

Content consumed doesn’t necessarily help the sale.

In other words, marketing attribution looks at content in a binary fashion, without evaluating nuances on whether it advanced the deal. The rule is:

If white paper was touched, then assign positive value.

For this ultimate guide to multi-factor authentication, what if it:

  • Was poorly designed
  • Was poorly written
  • Had spelling mistakes
  • Was a fluff piece that had no depth or substance
  • Introduced a new approach that was hard to grasp
  • Provided pricing that was different from what readers expected

Think differently now? Now, you feel lucky to have closed those 11 deals. Maybe customers downloaded the paper, but didn’t read it (again, lucky!). Or, maybe they purchased your product, but have a lukewarm-to-negative impression of your brand. Not a great way to start a relationship.

I don’t have an elegant solution to this, except to say that we ought to go beyond touches and consider the sentiment of those touches. You know, get some reader feedback.

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